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Market Timing

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Should I try to time the market?

Forget it.

Certainly the most natural urge you can have in today’s bear market is to bail out of money-losing assets and put all you’ve got left safely in the bank, where it can’t keep losing. But the fact is that market rebounds tend to occur quickly and unpredictably. If you guess wrong and hold all your savings in cash when stocks ricochet off their low point, you’ll have locked in the loss to this point and captured none of the rebound. It’s tired advice and hard to stomach in these volatile times. But the best way to go is to select a mixture of stocks, bonds, and cash, and stick with it over time.

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  • It Was the Best and Worst of Times

    How you reacted to the market swoon of 2008 and early 2009 may affect how you viewed the past few months of market returns. by Larry Swedroe

    Blog posts | Jan 11, 2010

  • The Smartest Things Ever Said About Market Timing

    The academic evidence has shown that market timing is a mug's game. Here are some of my favorite quotes on market timing. by Larry Swedroe

    Blog posts | Dec 25, 2009

  • Why Timing Market Swings Is a Bad Idea

    The large market swings of the past year provide more evidence that investors are often their own worst enemies. by Larry Swedroe

    Blog posts | Dec 29, 2009

  • Is Now the Right Time to Get Back Into The Stock Market?

    This is a common question I get. Often it comes in the form of a sophisticated question like "is this the right stock market re-entry point? My answer is a definite "NO!" by Allan Roth

    Blog posts | Nov 16, 2009

  • Financial Media Seized by Schizophrenia in Uncertain Times

    In times like these when it's unclear what to make of the economic recovery, the media turns into a raving schizoid with its financial coverage. As a news consumer, don't get too worried -- or relieved -- about the back-and-forth mix of ominous and elated headlines you're seeing....

    Blog posts | Nov 13, 2009

  • How to Invest in the ‘New Normal’

    Some advisers say you’ll need to be more nimble with your investments; critics just call that market timing. Here’s what we do know about the post-Lehman market. To Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian, co-chief investment officer and CEO (respectively) of Pacific Investment Management Co.,...

    Articles | Sep 15, 2009

  • Was This Bear Market Really So Different?

    While the recent downturn was one of the worst on record, the recovery looks a lot like previous bounce-backs. And that means many of the old investing lessons still apply. But is it really different this time? From a big-picture perspective, the stock market to this...

    Articles | Sep 29, 2009

  • Is the $8,000 First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Enough to Save the Housing Market?

    June's new construction and existing home sales numbers are out, and I think they're a mixed bag: New home sales increased 11 percent in June over May, according to the U.S. Commerce Dept. That's the highest amount in 9 years, and welcome bit of news for market-beaten developers. The...

    Blog posts | Jul 27, 2009

  • S&P 500 Tops 1,000 Again - Time to Sell!

    Why you shouldn't be feeling good about the stock market, even though I do! by Allan Roth

    Blog posts | Aug 4, 2009

  • I Will Not Time the Market. I Will Not Time the Market

    When people in the advice business make the point that timing the market is a loser’s game, they often trot their favorite hypothetical. You've not doubt encountered it in the "Investing is Easy" brochures that your company gave you when you enrolled in your 401(k). (That is, if you even...

    Blog posts | Jun 19, 2009

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