Carla Fried

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Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

By Carla Fried | Nov 4, 2009 |

Baby Boomers get all the attention when it comes to the retirement-savings crunch (okay, when don’t Boomers get all the attention, period?), but it turns out that Gen Xers are actually in worse shape. Fifty-six percent of Gen X households will lack adequate savings and assets to be able to maintain their current standard of living if they retire at age 65, according to the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College.

It’s not as if Boomers are really in better shape — let’s just call it less worse: Between 41 percent and 48 percent of Boomer households aren’t on pace to have sufficient assets at age 65 to maintain their standard of living once they stop working.

Generation X retirement savingsGen Xers have always scored lowest in the National Retirement Security Index, but 2009 marks the first time that more than half of them lack the necessary assets to maintain their lifestyle once they retire. Back in the good old days of 2004, a still anemic 49 percent of Gen X households were at risk of not being able to maintain their standard of living in retirement. Boomers ranged between 35 percent at risk (Early Boomers) and 44 percent (Late Boomers.)

The main culprit in declining security is the erosion of home equity; according to CRR calculations, 75 percent of the change in the Retirement Security Index is attributable to home values falling.

Given that relying on homes to generate plump retirement nest eggs was never really a viable strategy — bubble burster Robert Shiller pegs the long-term inflation-adjusted annualized gain for homes values at less than 1 percent –  Gen Xers (and, yes, Boomers too) would be wise to double down on what gets saved from their paychecks. Think you’ve got time to play catch up down the line? T. Rowe Price CFP Stuart Ritter says un-uh. “It’s popular to think that it will be easier to save more later on when you are making more, but the reality is that there will be more demands on your money down the line, too,” Ritter says. “It just doesn’t get any easier.”

Two somewhat painless ways to push yourself to save more:

  1. Increase your 401(k) contribution rate by one percentage point a year until you’re saving at least 10 percent of pre-tax income. You’ll likely need to do this by contacting your plan each year; sadly, very few 401(k) sponsors offer auto-escalation rates, despite the obvious need to automate higher 401(k) contributions.
  2. When that raise finally materializes, earmark half of it for your retirement savings, by either boosting your 401(k) contributions or bumping up your IRA for the coming year. Making that savings commitment before you’ve gotten into the habit of spending the raise makes it an easier move to stick with.

Piggy bank image courtesy of Flickr user dbking., CC 2.0

 
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  •  
    1

    S.Howard-Sarin

    11/05/09 | Report as spam

    What are the groups?

    Carla, when you refer to "late boomer" and "early boomer," what years of birth are you referring too? I'm pretty sure I'm in Gen X (and that my home equity took a hit -- that shoe sure fits!) but maybe I'm in one of these slices of boomer.

  •  
    2

    mfmeyer

    11/06/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    Hi Carla, thanks for the "up beat" news.

    I sometimes feel like we will never get out from under these economic disasters brought on by earlier generations (I've got yo blame someone). I don't know how I can save anymore money, my taxes are going up (and UP!), the cost of living is going up, college education is going up...and...oh yea, my income has gone down! I had to sell my house and relocate my family just to avoid going bankrupt and dipping into my retirement. And, I'm on the fence about ever buying another house because of the "flat-lining" of the housing market and the lack of return over the next 20 years vs the stock market. The bubble has busted and interest rates are going to rise.

    I know my kids education fund will be taking a "way-in-the-back" back seat position from now on. I predict that community colleges will be over crowded when my daughter graduates high school in 2017. My alum costs over $45k now (It was $11k+ when I graduated in 1989). My two kids will have more options for college funding then I will ever have for our retirement. Plus, my parents will be spending my inheritance on "complete" or "assisted" living expenses. Those places are expensive!

    I sometimes think us Gen-Xers have gotten the short end of the stick being stuck in between these two larger demographics. We are an after thought, or the forgotten generation with no voting muscle. I can definitely see that my kids will not have the same opportunities that I had when I was growing up in the 70's and 80's (I was born in '66). I think I will start preparing them for the "in-law" apartment assisted living program like they had back in the 40's and 50's.

    Don't get me wrong, I will take my share of the blame and responsibility for my mistakes. I only wish I could have seen this coming 10 or 20 years ago! But, I was just too busy trying to fit in with my older Boomer siblings and my younger Gen-Y friends.

    Good luck to all of us Gen-Xers, we'll need it.

  •  
    3

    Carla Fried

    11/06/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    @S.Howard-Sarin,

    According to the CRR the breakdown is:
    Early Boomers: 1951-1954
    Late Boomers: 1955-1964
    Gen X: 1965-1977

    As a Late Boomer I have a lot ridding on the notion of being able to work a loooong time so I don't end up in this risk pool. Just hope my health and my employers play along with my strategy.

  •  
    4

    Carla Fried

    11/06/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    @mfmeyer

    Sorry about the mood hit. It seems to be an occupational hazard when writing about retirement these days.

    But in an odd way I see some-dare I say it-upside in your note. You seem to have figured out what didn't/doesn't work and now have a more clear-eyed perspective on how your family will need to navigate the next 15-20 years. I realize the "cost" in terms of the upheaval for your family has been hard, but you have made the necessary adjustments to your outlook and financial management. That puts you ahead of a lot of your peers (There's a new Wells Fargo Retirement survey out that confirms most of us are still in serious denial about our financial future. I have an upcoming blog post on it.) Your lament "I wish I had seen this coming" is on the lips of millions-regardless of age. Not many did. Seems to me the big challenge is how to regroup and move forward. You are ahead of the curve in making the necessary changes.

  •  
    5

    kevin.wolford

    11/06/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    No Kidding. You're just NOW realizing that Gen-X is screwed. They have been forecasting Social Security's bankruptsy since I was in my early 20's. (I am in my early 40's).

    At least we can count on company pensions to tie us over (oh wait, we can't). Maybe our house will help (Nope, many of us who bought are so upside down it will take nearly a decade to get back to ground zero.)

  •  
    6

    clarkm

    11/06/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    I'm a late baby boomer (1963). When I started in the workplace there was significant talk about the potential "loss" of social security and it was generally accepted, at least in my work circles, that one had better look out for themself and not count on SS or pensions that may be raided by the corporation. I'm not in the greatest of financial shape but I'm reasonably invested and I've made good decisions on home buying. Anybody from Gen_X that didn't prepare better has only to look in the mirror for someone to blame. In fact, anyone today who was counting some entity other than themselves to fund their future and retirement is pretty stupid. "I didn't see this coming"???? No, You just weren't paying any attention.

  •  
    7

    mfmeyer

    11/10/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    Hey Carla, thanks for the reply. I look forward to your upcoming blog.

    clarkm: I never mentioned I was counting on some "entity" for my retirement. Quite the contrary. I wish I had your crystal ball. Oh, and thanks for the positive reinforcement...I just love people who are always right.

  •  
    8

    NewsView

    11/18/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    Let's see:

    1. Real wages have been in stagnation or decline since the
    1970s;
    2. Inflation is the next wave of this Great Recession because
    printing more money, hence devaluing the dollar is the only
    way to right the trade imbalance, repay deficits associated
    with war, TARP bailouts, healthcare and boomer
    entitlements;
    3. Employee benefit packages and pensions are shrinking or
    non-existent;
    4. More Gen-Xers, among others, are doing freelance, gap,
    consulting and contract gigs without the certainty of a
    traditional and more-or-less linear career/income trajectory
    thanks to the realities of global competition and a tax
    structure that rewards employers who offshore and
    insource;
    5. Small employers going out of business coupled with Big
    Business consolidation unimpeded by antitrust law
    (mergers, acquisitions and takeovers). This means, as it has
    always has, more people competing for fewer jobs, further
    driving down wages, and further contributing to a rise in the
    ranks of the unemployed and the underemployed for the
    foreseeable future. (Talk about self-fulfilling economic
    prophecy!);
    6. College tuition rates continuing to outpacing inflation. The
    desire to retrain for better market opportunities may mean
    taking out loans well after the traditional "college age", and
    that will only impede Americans' ability to set money aside
    for retirement.

    Here are the cuts and sacrifices that Gen-Xers must be
    willing to contemplate, and even this may not be sufficient
    to retire in comfort:

    1. No exotic or extended family vacations. Americans
    already take fewer vacation days than anyone in the
    developed world, even to include the notoriously
    hardworking Japanese. Over the past 50 years Americans
    also put in more time on the job than anyone else. We are
    growing more productive as a workforce for less and less
    monetary reward. This trend will only intensify to the point
    where most people will find it necessary to run a small
    business, perhaps something on the web, on the side. This
    will necessitate 2-3 income streams per household, even
    among singles;
    2. No theater. No pricey wine. No exotic cheeses. No dining
    out in style. No massive DVD or video game collection. No
    new cell phone, new car or new computer every other year.
    (Think about how perpetually tight wallets will adversely
    impact US GDP in this consumer-driven economy!)
    3. Cell phones for emergencies, not costly plans to allow for
    24/7 texting, Internet access, etc.
    4. Fewer children, if any. Negative birthrate trends are
    already a fact of life in Western Europe and the same is
    coming to pass here --- with the exception that in the US,
    like the EU, young immigrants are entering legally and
    illegally alike, whose children, the new majority, will be
    saddled disproportionately with the taxation burden;
    5. Fewer women seeking divorces (women are the most
    likely to file for divorce, studies show). Not because couples
    are getting along better than ever but because more people
    will wake up to the reality that the risk of a single income
    isn't worth it, and intentionally raising a child without a
    working parent is a recipe for disaster in the event of death,
    disability or layoff;
    6. More cohabitating, fewer marriages and an older age
    demographic among those who marry. News reports
    indicate that we are already seeing fewer people marry in
    the midst of the Great Recession due to the prohibitive
    expense of even a basic wedding, and more people living
    together to pool resources;
    7. A return to multi-generational households. In Asia and
    much of the world parents and adult children under the
    same roof is the norm. The post-WWII baby boom era
    changed that in favor of the single-family household, but
    now Americans are coming full circle because economic
    realities increasingly dictate unconventional living
    arrangements;
    8. Bartering and secondhand goods taking on increasing
    popularity as a harbinger of an increasingly dire reality for
    the so-called middle class (the new working class);
    9. More children working to either put themselves through
    school or to help out their parents;
    10. Less social mobility and real-estate market profitability
    as adult children begin to inherit older homes from their
    parents rather than buy new ones.

    Welcome to the race to the bottom. Google it. And while
    you're at it, look up the instructive documentary film
    "IOUSA" featuring no less than the former Comptroller
    General of the United States.

  •  
    9

    clarkm

    11/19/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    mfmeyer; Never claimed to have a crystal ball or that I'm always right. I simply said that all the issues that you claimed to have missed, "I only wish I could have seen this coming 10 or 20 years ago!", where evident at that time and were significant subjects of discussion when I started working in roughly the same time frame. I think you identified your own problems, "But, I was just too busy trying to fit in with my older Boomer siblings and my younger Gen-Y friends." You (we) didn't get the short end of the stick. It just boils down to the issue of what each person did with the information that was evident. If you weren't counting on some other entity to fund your retirement, "my parents will be spending my inheritance on "complete" or "assisted" living expenses", what were you counting on? Positive reinforcment in today's world is just another form of political correctness. I'm not going to console you and say it isn't your fault, because it is. That's not negative, just reality. Only you are responsible for your own happiness and state of well being.

  •  
    10

    DJEDC

    11/19/09 | Report as spam

    RE: Gen Xers Face Retirement Trouble

    I am a "late boomer." We thought that we were doing pretty well preparing for retirement until my husband was laid off five years ago. Now it takes both of us to earn just over half of what he was earning before. We went through our emergency fund long ago. There isn't any extra money to save because we are struggling just to keep up with all of the bills.

    Since my husband wasn't 50 yet when he was laid off, he won't get any of the pension he worked 19 years to earn, unless he is somehow able to go back to work for the company and retire after age 50. That pension was a big chunk of our retirement planning. The 401k contributions we made weren't nearly enough.

    I guess I just want to say that some of the boomers have taken big hits in the last few years, and we have less time to recover than Gen Xers. The moral of this story is: don't wait to start preparing for retirement. Even if you can only invest a little bit, start today. I don't know when, if ever, we will be able to retire.

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Carla Fried

Carla Fried started reporting on retirement way back when the 401(k) was a new-fangled oddity (i.e., the mid '80s). As a senior writer at Money magazine in the 1990s, she wrote extensively on retirement planning and investment and covered a wide range of personal financial topics, from real estate to insurance. She is a dot-com veteran, having served as the managing editor at Quicken.com. Since 2002 she has freelanced for publications and websites including Business 2.0, Kiplinger's, Money, The New York Times, and Real Simple.

Carla Fried

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